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July 13, 2008

Children of Men

This morning I was rooting around my hard drive when I found an old presentation that I knocked up for a colleague's trip to China a few years ago. Most of it isn't very interesting (if memory serves, I just threw most of it together on a flight from Bangkok to London), but I felt that slides 17 and 19 are worth re-visiting:





(click on them for slightly bigger versions)

The size of America's looming (well, it's already happening) demographic shift gets some press attention, but surprisingly little given its size and implications (you people are worried about oil? house prices?). And there is beginning to be some popular recognition of Europe's prospects (they are going to become the Canada of the other side of the Pond, it they're not careful). But, amidst all of the goofy explanations for the Dragon's Rise, how many have talked about a dependency burden close to its lowest levels in the modern era? Or what its' likely future trajectory suggests for China's currently glorious course?

Posted by dag at July 13, 2008 9:12 AM

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